Cigarafterten

Betting strategy: my way

cigarafterten — Thu, 23 Feb 2012 13:55:54 +0000

Everyone follows his own rules about betting, my rules are simple:

1. I bet only on basket matches
2. I choose only single bets
3. I publish my bets, so everyone can chek them
4. I publish them not before 24 hours the game is scheduled
5. I publish them not after 2 hours the game is scheduled
6. I don’t like to bet every day, i just like to bet every week
7. As I win some money in the week, I don’t go on betting, I prefer to stop
8. As I lose too much I prefer to stop, it’s important to have a weekly stop loss
9. I bet with more than one bookmaker
10. As I live in Italy, I follow italian betting laws and I bet only italian boomakers approved by italian national betting agency called AAMS

In my opinion, if you don’t follow some rules, you are set to be a loser in online betting.

By the way, this week I already earned 11.40 units. It has been a good week for me and for people who followed my tips about Eurocup match Donetsk – Asvel.

No more bets until Monday, so …………… have a nice weekend!

Filed under: basket Tagged: betting strategy

BC Donetsk – Asvel Basket preview

cigarafterten — Mon, 20 Feb 2012 20:15:18 +0000

EUROCUP
Last 16 – matchday 5
Tuesday, February 21, 2012 – 18:00 cet

BC Donetsk – Asvel Basket
Donetsk (3-1) is unbeaten at home in Eurocup this season: 5 wins in 5 games for the Ukanian team. The coach Sasa Obradovic thinks this is the most important game of the season for his team.

Asvel (1-3) already met Donetsk this season, losing 75-86 at home. I think the French team is set to lose again.

Donetsk @ 1.22
stake 10/100

Over 150.5 @ 1.92
stake 10/100

RESULT: Donetsk – Asvel Basket 93-87
♦ money line bet: won (+2.20 units)
♦ under/over bet: won (+9.20 units)

Filed under: eurocup Tagged: asvel, donetsk

Nancy – Cholet preview

cigarafterten — Thu, 16 Feb 2012 20:11:42 +0000

SEMAINE DES AS 2012
Quarter finals
Friday, February 17, 2012 – 20:30 cet

SLUC Nancy – Cholet Basket
Nancy (seed n° 3) is one of the best French team and it play this Semaines Des As targetting a final victory. In PRO A, the French Championship, they are now in 4th position with a 12-6 record. By the way, the Semaine Des As is a competiotion reserved to the best French teams

Cholet (seed ° 7) has not big chances to get good results in this weekend as the team is in trouble also in PRO A with a 8-10 record (8th position). By the way, this season Nancy already met Cholet and defeatet it 96-88.

Nancy @ 1.33
stake 10/100

RESULT: SLUC Nancy – Cholet 78-74
♦ money line bet: won (+3.30 units)

Filed under: basket, semaine des as Tagged: cholet, nancy

L.A. Lakers – Atlanta preview

cigarafterten — Tue, 14 Feb 2012 08:22:51 +0000

NBA
Regular Season
Wednesday, February 15, 2012 – 04:30 cet

Los Angeles Lakers – Atlanta Hawks
The LA Lakers (16-12) have Steve Blake questionable for this match. Los Angeles is a very good team at home (11-2) and the early money from the NBA bettors has landed on the side of the home team as the LA Lakers are now favored.

Atlanta (18-10) has the same performance playing home or away: 9-5. Tonight the Hawks are set to be without Jason Collins, injured. Reading some previews all around the web, it seems the Lakers are set to win the match, anyway, I want to bet on the Hawks. I like them because they have the NBA’s best road defense

Atlanta (+5.5) @ 1.87
stake 10/100

and ………surprise!!! …………..I also have an under/over bet for this match:

Under 180.5 @ 1.76
stake 10/100

RESULT: LA Lakers – Atlanta 86-78
♦ spread line bet: lost (- 10.00 units)
♦ under/over bet: won (+ 7.60 units)

Filed under: nba Tagged: atlanta hawks, la lakers

Golden State – Phoenix preview

cigarafterten — Mon, 13 Feb 2012 14:42:32 +0000

NBA
Regular Season
Tuesday, February 14, 2012 – 04:30 cet

Golden State Warriors – Phoenix Suns
Golden State (10-14) is without Dominic McGuire (injured) and Nate Robinson also questionable. Last Juanuary the Warriors playet at Phoenix and the Suns defeated the Warriors for the seventh straight time and 11th in the last 12 meetings.

Phoenix (12-15) has not injures reported. Both teams are outside playoff position, but the Suns have won four of their last five and are starting to resemble a team capable of reaching the postseason. I prefer Phoenix.

Phoenix (+4.5) @ 1.80
stake 10/100

RESULT: ♦ Golden State – Phoenix 102-96 ♦ money: -10.00 units

Filed under: basket, nba Tagged: golden state, phoenix

Week 7

cigarafterten — Mon, 13 Feb 2012 07:37:59 +0000

It’s Monday morning in Italy and I am waiting for fresh odds by Italian bookmakers. As you probably know, Italian bookmakers usually publish new odds just around 11.00 am. Now it’s about 8:30, so I can only wait for them.

Meanwhile, these are NBA games scheduled for tonight:

Toronto (9-19) – New York (13-15)
Indiana (17-10) - Miami (20-7)
Detroit (8-20) - San Antonio (19-9)
Chicago (23-6) - Sacramento (10-17)
Memphis (14-13) – Houston (16-11)
Oklahoma (21-6) – Utah (13-12)
Denver (16-12) – Phoenix (12-15)
Portland (15-13) – Washington (5-22)
LA Lakers (15-12) – Atlanta (18-9)

See you later for my preview

Filed under: basket, nba

Upcoming NBA matches

cigarafterten — Wed, 08 Feb 2012 10:43:54 +0000

Good morning World,

after my winning pick on Oklahoma City in Portland (+7.70 units for me) I choosed to don’t bet until next Monday. I just need some days for working at my blog and change some details in my web pages.

Anyway, these are the upcoming NBA matches:

Toronto – Milwaukee
Philadelphia – San Antonio
Washington – New York
Orlando – Miami
Cleveland – LA Clippers
New Jersey – Detroit
Atlanta - Indiana
Memphis – Minnesota
Portland – Houston

Good luck!

Filed under: nba

Portland – Oklahoma preview

cigarafterten — Mon, 06 Feb 2012 11:23:02 +0000

NBA
Regular Season
Tuesday, February 7, 2012 – 04:00 cet

Portland Trail Blazers – Oklahoma City Thunder
Portland (14-10) is without Greg Oden (injured), with Raymond Felton also questionable. The Trail Blazers are 11-1 at the Rose Garden, but tonight they meet of of the best team of the NBA.

Oklhoma City (18-5) has the league’s best record largely thanks to an impressive 9-4 road mark. Tonight the Thunder are without Eric Maynor (injured) with Thabo Sefolosha also questionable. The Blazers aren’t an easy target at home for anybody, anyway I bet my money on Oklahoma City win.

Oklahoma @ 1.77
stake 10/100

RESULT: ♦ Portland – Oklahoma 107 – 111 ♦ money: +7.70 units

Filed under: nba Tagged: nba